Handicapping the GOP and LP PrezNom Races

Neither the California or the Orange
County Libertarian Parties are doing
much in the way of outreach, events,
fundraising or recruitment. They
also don't seem to be doing much for
Candidates...

So, the only excitement left for me
to think and talk about is the two
Presidential Nominations up for
grabs from either of the two pro-
freedom political parties.

"Since the time of the Greeks, there
have only been two political Parties.
The Pro-freedom and the Anti-Freedom
Parties.

The Libertarian and Republican Parties
are two branches of the Pro-Freedom
Party"
Tom McClintock

The Envelope Please.

My Personal Favorites for Republican Nomination:

1. Ron Paul 2. Mitt Romney

Ron Paul is far better than any other GOP Candidate.

Handicapping the race is a different matter.

My predictions are that Mitt Romney gets the Republican nod.

Huckabee Second

Giuliani Third

*Ron Paul Fourth with 5-10% of the result.

All others less than 5%

Any of the top three could win, and Ron Paul stands to hold enough votes that he could play kingmaker and choose the winner if one could get his endorsement.

For the Libertarian Nomination:
My Personal Favorites:

#1 Wayne Root (L)
#2 Ron Paul (R)
#3 Steve Kubby (L)

On the other hand...

If Congressman Ron Paul decides to run
as a Libertarian, he can just walk into the room, and the Convention will be over.

Giuliani Fails Libertarian Test - Libertarian is as Libertarian Does

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Certainly, Libertarians are going to disagree on some
issues, as well as strategies.

Some Libertarians, like me, would call Tom McClintock
and President Reagan Libertarians.

On the other hand, there are Libertarians who would,
and have, said otherwise. These same people just
can't accept incremental progress, nor vote for the
better of two candidates.

That they are willing to overlook where they disagree
with Ron Paul, is hopefully a sign of maturation
within the LP and the freedom movement.

As far as Rudy, I am happy he's working with
some very good libertarians, and has given every
indication that he'll include some excellent people
in his cabinet, should he be elected.

But, on the question of Rudy's libertarian credentials,
I can't go along, no way, no how.

Rudy is better than almost any Democrat, sure.
But that's not the question being raised.

I don't personally believe Rudy is committed to
less government. In fact, quite the opposite.
He seems committed to being 'in charge'.

When you listen to Mitt Romney, at least he
makes the case for less government and more
individual choice.

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Libertarian is as Libertarian does.
Rudy is a gun banner, he's for more rules
on Business and Wall Street. And Rudy,
like the Clintons, believes strongly he
knows what's best for you and I.

When he was in office, he did get some
good results, and I'm interested in
learning from his methodology.

New York City certainly benefited overall
from his leadership, but there were many
mistakes and abuses of power along the
way, and this tells us how he would
behave as President.

While Huckabee in no way is committed
to freedom, in the way we Libertarians
envision it, at least he's consistent and
straightforward.

No matter how loudly Mister Rittberg
beats the Rudy drum, Ron Paul is far
more Libertarian than Giuliani.

And, among those in double digits,
only Mitt Romney has legislated in
anything that could be described as
a Libertarian fashion.

Just like with the Islamic terrorists
who would attack us, all we need do

is listen to the words of the
Candidates and watch their
behavior in office and their
personal lives.

Ron Paul has the highest level of
consistency, ethics and legislative
record as a Congressman. As well,
his personal life is unquestionably
likewise squeaky clean.

These things matter to me.
They matter to most Libertarians.
And, they matter to America.

That's why Ron Paul has a shot,
longshot though it may be.

For Libertarians, Ron Paul has to be
the number one Republican choice,
with Romney the only other even
worth considering.

(Tom Tancredo is good too, but off
the radar in polling and funds...)

The voters of America are quite
practical, and won't vote for someone
they don't trust, or that they don't
think can win.

As more and more information
about Rudy's past comes out, it's
looking like it will be hard for America

to trust him.

And so, we have Ron Paul as the

only major party choice worth

real consideration.